Sir,
We welcome the comments of Dr K.C. Kong. The main issue which he identifies, well recognised by epidemiologists, is the distinction between efficacy and effect. Trials of thromboprophylaxis adopt surrogate endpoints, in many cases demonstrating adequate efficacy - a reduction in the primary endpoint of radiographically-proven venous thromboembolism (VTE) at the time of discharge. However, population studies such as ours, looking for an effect of treatment (or in this case prophylaxis) on the overall incidence of an event, fail to show any significant impact. A possible reason for this is that confounding variables are not controlled in the same way in the population as they may be in a randomised controlled trial. In addition, the present study is unusual in the length of follow-up of cases after discharge. Most randomised trials follow patients to cessation of chemoprophylaxis. This will fail to identify cases of VTE occurring after the cessation of chemoprophylaxis. In our study most patients suffered their thromboembolic event after discharge when presumably conventional prophylaxis would have been discontinued.
Analysis has been performed on the length of hospital stay for lower limb arthroplasty in Scotland between 1995 and 2004.1 This has determined a significant reduction in length of stay for both primary hip and knee arthroplasty patients from a median stay of approximately 14 days to 8 days. We are not aware of any studies that demonstrate convincing evidence that such a reduction will decrease the incidence of VTE. In our cataract group we were comparing an in-patient group to an ambulatory(day-case) group. Intuitively this should have a more significant effect on VTE.
C.R. Howie,
Consultant Orthopaedic Surgeon,
New Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh,
Edinburgh, UK.
1.Scottish Arthroplasty Project. Annual Report 2005. http://www.show.scot.nhs.uk/arthro/Reports/Scottish_Arthroplasty_Final_Report_2005_Web.pdf (accessed 07/02/06).