Sir,
Holt et al present an interesting review of outcomes following
surgery for hip fracture in patients aged 95 and over. Their work
highlights once again the difficulties and cost implications of treating
this growing population.
Based on a search of the literature, they have also gathered
information on predictors of mortality, and looked at diabetes mellitus,
congestive cardiac failure, cardiac arrhythmia, ischaemic heart disease,
cerebrovascular disease, renal impairment, malignancy, Parkinson’s
disease, hypertension, COPD and anticoagulation use. They also looked at
ASA grade, and the number of co-morbidities. They quote these as being the
most important predictors of outcome.
Unfortunately, there is no mention of cognitive function, which has
been shown to be the single most important variable affecting outcome in
hip fractures.1,2 The prevalence of dementia is as high as 68% in the over
95s,3,4 and this is therefore likely to be a particularly powerful
prognostic indicator in this group. As our population ages,5 this will
become increasingly important. It would be interesting to know how much
the early mortality of this study group was linked to dementia.
Holt et al also found a marked reduction in independence following a
fracture, shown by a reduction in the number of patients living
independently from 62% pre-injury to just 4% at final follow-up (29
months). The active life expectancy (ie. the duration for which people are able, independently, to perform activities of daily living) has been shown
to be just 2.9 years in those aged over 85.6 It may well be, therefore,
that the loss of function represents a normal progression for this group,
rather than being a direct result of hip trauma.
S.G.Molyneux, MRCS,
T.W.Barwick, MRCS,
R.J. Gregory, FRCS(ORTH),
University Hospital of North Durham,
Durham, UK.
1. Horgan NF, Cunningham C, McSorley G, Sexton M. Rehabilitation
Following Hip Fracture: The Impact Of Cognitive Impairment. J Am Ger Soc 1998;46:S108.
2. Ions GK, Stevens J. Prediction of survival in patients with
femoral neck fractures. J Bone Joint Surg [Br] 1987;69-B:384-387.
3. Paykel ES, Brayne C, Huppert FA, et al. Incidence of dementia in
a population older than 75 years in the United Kingdom. Arch Gen Psych 1994;51:325-332.
4. Fratiglioni L, De Ronchi D, Aguero-Torres H. Worldwide prevalence
and incidence of dementia. Drugs Aging 1999;15:365-375.
5. Hebert LE, Beckett LA, Scherr PA, Evans DA. Annual incidence of
Alzheimer disease in the United States projected to the years 2000 through
2050. Alzheimer Dis Assoc Disord 2001;15:169-173.
6. Katz S, Branch LG, Branson MH, et al.
Active life expectancy. N Engl J Med 1983;309:1218-1224.